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bb6df27 It was more like I saw him coming and knew he was the one. I went out of myself to meet him and then couldn't get back inside without bringing him with me. Gail Godwin
adb5bd9 These amazing and often indispensable systems work so well and so quietly that we tend to be unaware of their existence. David Macaulay
ec7fc0e 'Tis not a life,'Tis but a piece of childhood thrown away. Beaumont and Fletcher
23aec4f He had a reasonable job as an actuary (whatever that was), Ruth Rendell
7263179 He didn't know how to speak properly, how to walk properly, how to comb his hair, and she felt embarrassed for him as he shouted about restoring jobs and national honor, about a better and splendid Germany. The mob applauded, shouted. Did people really believe that he wanted what was best for Germany? Ursula Hegi
7b8f484 Carefully, the girl skimmed her fingers across her mother's knee. It was smooth; the skin had closed across the tiny wounds like the surface of the river after you toss stones into the waves. Only you knew they were there. Unless you told. Ursula Hegi
f656e30 These are thing," Trudi's father told her long before she was old enough for confession, "that the church call sins, but they are part of being human. And those we need to embrace. The most important thing--" He paused. "--is to be kind." Ursula Hegi
689a591 Their train speeds through the cities and crosses rivers until it reaches Paris. They leave the station, their arms around each other, and walk to the Jardin des Plantes where the panther paces the length of his cage. The young teacher nods as Hannelore Beier reaches into the cage, and strokes the animal's magnificent neck. The panther arches his back. A curtain lifts from his pupils as the pastor's sister slides aside the bolt that has kep.. jardin-des-plantes panther rilke Ursula Hegi
6c62d21 Only a few people in Burgdorf had read Mein Kampf, and many thought that all this talk about Rssenreinheit-purity of the race-was ludicrous and impossible to enforce. Yet the long training in obedience to elders, government, and church made it difficult-even for those who considered the views of the Nazis dishonorable-to give voice to their misgivings. And so they kept hushed, yielding to each new indignity while they waited for the Nazis a.. Ursula Hegi
fca5fe8 Stones from the River, Ursula Hegi Irmgard A. Hunt
0fe1b52 It was the kind of silence that fills you with light and makes you believe you can do anything you want. Ursula Hegi
d3d6127 All your better deedsShall be in water writ, but this in marble. Beaumont and Fletcher
5fe1351 It shew'd discretion, the best part of valor. Beaumont and Fletcher
9400510 Data are to statistics what a good offensive is to a star quarterback. statistics Charles Wheelan
104f058 Jealousy, that diseased crow pecking at your heart. jealousy-quotes jealousy-quotes-love-quote Stewart Stafford
1a94a2f Ah, sleep, clothe me in thy velvet cloak. dreaming dreams rest sleep Stewart Stafford
4c87b50 Success is the bridge between insanity and credibility. Stewart Stafford
939152e All vampires are brothers in the brotherhood of night! nighttime vampire-series vampires Stewart Stafford
dd12a2d The Phantastic Phantasms by Stewart Stafford Halloween Henry sitting on top of a pumpkin he made Eyes are ablaze Morbid Melissa breastfeeding strychnine to all of the babes Her smile never fades Don't you see that darkness creeping? It's a nightmare without sleeping Trick-or-Treat Trevor knocking on doors with no head to display It's his headless way Emmet The Clownface Haunting the grounds of an old children's school He's nobody's ghoul On.. all-hallows-eve dark-humour halloween halloween-beasts halloween-creatures halloween-poem halloween-poems phantasm samhain Stewart Stafford
334381d Almost Myself On a twilight road, I met a young man with my face. A denizen of some distant dust devil in drifter denim. We stood and eyed each other, then, with a look of mutual disdain, we parted. doppelgänger drifter hitchhiking poem poems-on-life poetry supernatural-mystery twilight twin-soul Stewart Stafford
6f023ba Lord, if Hezekiah could learn to lean upon and be confident in You, I know that it's also possible for me. Enable me to focus on developing and maximizing my strengths rather than concentrating on my weaknesses. Amen. Joyce Meyer
31d5b55 Os maiores riscos nunca sao aqueles que voce pode ver e mensurar, mas aqueles que voce nao pode ver e, portanto, jamais podera mensurar. Aqueles que parecem tao distantes, fora das fronteiras da probabilidade normal, que voce nao consegue nem imaginar que possam acontecer na sua vida - mesmo que, e claro, acontecam, com mais frequencia do que voce se da conta. Charles Wheelan
7164935 THE Charles Wheelan
db1ce77 Several studies of thousands of British civil servants (the Whitehall studies) have found that workers who have little control over their jobs--meaning they have minimal say over what tasks are performed or how those tasks are carried out--have a significantly higher mortality rate than other workers in the civil service with more decision-making authority. Charles Wheelan
5b7be9c our ability to analyze data has grown far more sophisticated than our thinking about what we ought to do with the results. You Charles Wheelan
d1a1fb8 Recognize that your own motivation, ambition, and talents will determine your success more than the college name on your diploma."8" Charles Wheelan
f674642 Statistical inference is really just the marriage of two concepts that we've already discussed: data and probability (with a little help from the central limit theorem). Charles Wheelan
0ad42a7 For all of these reasons, a shocking amount of expert research turns out to be wrong. John Ioannidis, a Greek doctor and epidemiologist, examined forty-nine studies published in three prominent medical journals.8 Each study had been cited in the medical literature at least a thousand times. Yet roughly one-third of the research was subsequently refuted by later work. (For example, some of the studies he examined promoted estrogen replacemen.. Charles Wheelan
fecee98 A statistical anomaly does not prove wrongdoing. Delma Kinney, a fifty-year-old Atlanta man, won $1 million in an instant lottery in 2008 and then another $1 million in an instant game in 2011. The probability of that happening to the same person is somewhere in the range of 1 in 25 trillion. statistics Charles Wheelan
6d83974 The one social factor that researchers agree is consistently linked to longer lives in every country where it has been studied is education. It is more important than race; it obliterates any effects of income."4" Charles Wheelan
24daa07 But it's not perfect. The GPA does not reflect the difficulty of the courses that different students may have taken. Charles Wheelan
387aa70 A study in the American Journal of Public Health estimated that every $1 increase in the price of gasoline is associated with an additional 1,500 motorcycle deaths annually.10 Charles Wheelan
9481d86 Obituaries are just like biographies, only shorter. They remind us that interesting, successful people rarely lead orderly, linear lives. I defy you to find a single obituary that begins, "Jane Doe won the Nobel Prize in large part because she was admitted to a prestigious, highly selective preschool. After that, everything just kind of fell into place." Instead, you will read about dead ends, lucky coincidences, quirky habits, excessive se.. passion success Charles Wheelan
cf410cf VaR has been called "potentially catastrophic," "a fraud," and many other things not fit for a family book about statistics like this one. In particular, the model has been blamed for the onset and severity of the financial crisis. The primary critique of VaR is that the underlying risks associated with financial markets are not as predictable as a coin flip or even a blind taste test between two beers. The false precision embedded in the m.. Charles Wheelan
ef9aff4 Housing prices had never before fallen as far and as fast as they did beginning in 2007. But that's what happened. Former Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan explained to a congressional committee after the fact, "The whole intellectual edifice, however, collapsed in the summer of [2007] because the data input into the risk management models generally covered only the past two decades, a period of euphoria. Had instead the models been f.. Charles Wheelan
4905e4a Fire, knives, automobiles, hair removal cream. Each of these things serves an important purpose. Each one makes our lives better. And each one can cause some serious problems when abused. Now you can add statistics to that list. statistics Charles Wheelan
477c102 The finest studies are like the finest of anything else: They cost big bucks. Charles Wheelan
4ea4ac3 Researchers may have some conscious or unconscious bias, either because of a strongly held prior belief or because a positive finding would be better for their career. (No one ever gets rich or famous by proving what doesn't cause cancer.) science statistics Charles Wheelan
2071d7c Skepticism is always a good first response. statistics Charles Wheelan
5acb017 Longitudinal data sets are the research equivalent of a Ferrari. Not surprisingly, we can't always have the Ferrari. The research equivalent of a Toyota is a cross-sectional data set. Charles Wheelan
5d97d45 Statistics cannot be any smarter than the people who use them. And in some cases, they can make smart people do dumb things. Charles Wheelan
16cd682 The first descriptive task is often to find some measure of the "middle" of a set of data, or what statisticians might describe as its "central tendency." What is the typical quality experience for your printers compared with those of the competition?" Charles Wheelan
5e12aad I have always had an uncomfortable relationship with math. I don't like numbers for the sake of numbers. I am not impressed by fancy formulas that have no real-world application. I particularly disliked high school calculus for the simple reason that no one ever bothered to tell me why I needed to learn it. What is the area beneath a parabola? Who cares? Charles Wheelan
79b7407 Intelligence Gathering and Crime Analysis, Charles Wheelan