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1c541ea Intergenerational inequity in public finance, hypertrophic growth of regulation, deterioration in the rule of law and corrosion of educational institutions - taken together, these lead to a 'great degeneration' of both economic performance and (as we shall see) social cohesion. Niall Ferguson
68c638c Even if, as seems likely, Islamic State is defeated in Iraq and Syria, its network in cyberspace and in the West will live on, a toxic milieu where the memes of dawa can breed, converting one loser after another to the cause of murderous martyrdom. Niall Ferguson
0858a58 In most history, success is over-represented, for the victors out-write the losers. In the history of networks, the opposite often applies. Successful networks evade public attention; unsuccessful ones attract it, and it is their notoriety, rather than their achievement, that leads to their over-representation. Niall Ferguson
4e210b7 Brexit was a dress rehearsal for the US presidential election of 2016. As in Britain, so in the United States, the political establishment took it for granted that the old ways would suffice. Niall Ferguson
fc0e910 arguing that Google and Facebook should do the censoring is not just an abdication of responsibility; it is evidence of unusual naivety. As if these two companies were not already mighty enough, European politicians apparently want to give them the power to limit their citizens' free expression. Niall Ferguson
3a0aaf4 You will look in vain for a European search engine, a European online retailer, a European social network. The biggest EU-based Internet company is Spotify, the Stockholm-based music and video streaming company founded in 2006. Niall Ferguson
5ee2b78 the European political elites now effectively rely on US companies such as Facebook to carry out censorship on their behalf, seemingly oblivious to the risk that Facebook's 'community standards' may end up being stricter than European law. Niall Ferguson
52389c4 The possibility exists that information and computer technology could enable Beijing to build a system of 'social credit', analogous to financial credit in the West, that would (in official parlance) 'allow the trustworthy to roam everywhere under heaven while making it hard for the discredited to take a single step'. Niall Ferguson
1ba4a2f As a result of these mistakes, the world now finds itself in the grip of an epidemic of Islamist terror. Of the last sixteen years, the worst year for terrorism was 2014, with ninety-three countries experiencing attacks and close to 33,000 people killed. The second worst was 2015, with over 29,000 deaths. In that year, four radical Islamic groups were responsible for three quarters of all deaths from terrorism: Islamic State, Boko Haram, th.. Niall Ferguson
3331199 There is a powerful case to be made that the innovations of the earlier industrial revolutions were of more benefit to mankind than those of the most recent one.11 And if the principal consequence of advanced robotics and artificial intelligence really is going to be large-scale unemployment,12 the chances are surely quite low that a majority of mankind13 will uncomplainingly devote themselves to harmless leisure pursuits in return for some.. Niall Ferguson
8faeb6f it is no longer a mere possibility that this network can be instrumentalized by corrupt oligarchs or religious fanatics to wage a new and unpredictable kind of war in cyberspace. That war has commenced. Indices of geopolitical risk suggest that conventional and even nuclear war may not be far behind. Niall Ferguson
bea7dfa In 1800 seven out of the world's ten biggest cities had still been Asian, and Beijing had still exceeded London in size. By 1900, largely as a result of the Industrial Revolution, only one of the biggest was Asian; the rest were European or American. Niall Ferguson
ad440ca Systems can be fast, open, or secure, but only two of these three at a time.'51 The threat to world order can be summed up as 'very fast networks x artificial intelligence x black boxes x the New Caste x compression of time x everyday objects x weapons'.52 Niall Ferguson
8459586 When half the nodes of a random graph the size of most real-world networks are removed, the network is destroyed. But when the same procedure is carried out against a scale-free model of a similar size, 'the giant connected component resists even after removing more than 80 per cent of the nodes, and the average distance within it [between nodes] is practically the same as at the beginning Niall Ferguson
9e8b85d At around the same time, the coffee house owner Thomas Garraway published a broadsheet entitled 'An Exact Description of the Growth, Quality and Vertues of the Leaf TEA', in which he claimed that it could cure 'Headache, Stone, Gravel, Dropsy, Liptitude Distillations, Scurvy, Sleepiness, Loss of Memory, Looseness or Griping of the Guts, Heavy Dreams and Collick proceeding from Wind'. Niall Ferguson
892a2dd With good reason, Joseph Goebbels described radio as 'the spiritual weapon of the totalitarian state'. Stalin might have added that the telephone was God's gift to eavesdroppers. Niall Ferguson
26894dd Rather than being a cause of the late twentieth-century crisis, the Internet appears to have been a consequence of the breakdown of hierarchical power. Niall Ferguson
e1abf11 American legislators scarcely rested until Chinese immigration to the United States had been altogether stopped. The Chinese Exclusion Act of 1882 suspended immigration of Chinese for ten years, introduced 'certificates of registration' for departing workers (effectively re-entry permits), required Chinese officials to vet travellers from Asia, and for the first time in US history created an offence of illegal immigration, with the possibil.. Niall Ferguson
a071445 Just as global networks of communication and transportation had made the mass migrations of the late nineteenth century possible,6 so political networks of populism and nativism sprang into life to resist them. Niall Ferguson
e6df6c6 by the second decade of the twentieth century the gap in living standards between London and Beijing was around six to one, compared with two to one in the eighteenth century.36 Niall Ferguson
97f9a11 Aunque Chamberlain seguia negandose a escuchar el consejo de Churchill de vincular a Rusia al tratado anglofrances, Halifax hizo publica una nota de prensa afirmando que, en el caso de un ataque aleman a Checoslovaquia, <>. Lejos de ir en contra de un supuesto pacifismo popular, esto reflejaba exactamente el talante predomin.. Niall Ferguson
b55d612 In the end, the British sacrificed her Empire to stop the Germans, Japanese and Italians from keeping theirs. Did not that sacrifice alone expunge all the Empire's other sins? sins Niall Ferguson
1bdff5e Sir Richard Turnbull, the penultimate Governor of Aden, once told Labour politician Denis Healey that 'when the British Empire finally sank beneath the waves of history, it would leave behind it only two monuments: one was the game of Association Football, the other was the expression "Fuck off".' " football Niall Ferguson
48b764e The aim of Cold War competition in the third world was not to win a contest between rival models of economic development but above all to "fill(...) a spiritual void," for "even Communism has made many more converts through the theological quality of Marxism than through the materialistic aspect on which it prides itself." political-science Niall Ferguson
8d66a63 the central issue of the Trump presidency, informing every aspect of Trumpian policy and leadership: he didn't process information in any conventional sense--or, in a way, he didn't process it at all. Michael Wolff
8e16d39 our species should really be known as Homo dictyous ('network man') because - to quote the sociologists Nicholas Christakis and James Fowler - 'our brains seem to have been built for social networks'. Niall Ferguson
e9adacd Inequality did increase as a result of the Industrial Revolution. Between 1780 and 1830 output per labourer in the UK grew over 25 per cent but wages rose barely 5 per cent. The proportion of national income going to the top percentile of the population rose from 25 per cent in 1801 to 35 per cent in 1848. In Paris in 1820, around 9 per cent of the population were classified as 'proprietors and rentiers' (living from their investments) and .. Niall Ferguson
6ae9fc7 Power, let us not forget, is not just about being able to buy whatever you want; that is mere wealth. Power is about being able to get whatever you want at below the market price. Niall Ferguson
0cfc015 La retorica europea de los nazis hallo especial resonancia en todos aquellos conservadores para quienes el dominio aleman parecia un mal menor frente al comunismo sovietico. Niall Ferguson
22485ed In a double-page spread in 1999, the Daily Mail ran a large photo of fake Nazis from 'Allo 'Allo! with a think-piece headlined 'In the week that Germany kept the old feud alive by illegally banning British beef: Why it's a good thing for us to be beastly to the Germans.' It was written, not by some hack but by the distinguished historian Niall Ferguson. He found a way to argue both that the 'war' with Germany was entirely phoney and that it.. Fintan O'Toole
4792f49 the firing of FBI director James Comey may be the most consequential move ever made by a modern president acting entirely on his own. Michael Wolff
b8ff3eb He's a guy who really hated school," said Bannon. "And he's not going to start liking it now." Michael Wolff
dffa9f4 Media is personal. It is a series of blood scores. The media in its often collective mind decides who is going to rise and who is going to fall, who lives and who dies. Michael Wolff
8119211 that looseness with the truth, if not with reality itself, are an elemental thread of the book. Michael Wolff
36862ee he could yet make a case for a straight line from Nixon to Trump. Michael Wolff
d1374e1 Trump, a man whose many neuroses included a horror of forgetfulness or senility, Michael Wolff
6692a5c In politics somebody has to lose, but invariably everybody thinks they can win. Michael Wolff
b764766 The leitmotif for Trump about his own campaign was how crappy it was and how everybody involved in it was a loser. Michael Wolff
b0da428 To Trump, he was just up against Sally Yates, who was, he steamed, "such a cunt." Michael Wolff
9003405 It was the first presidential instance of what the campaign regulars had learned over many months: on the most basic level, Trump just did not, as Spicer later put it, give a fuck. You could tell him whatever you wanted, but he knew what he knew, and if what you said contradicted what he knew, he simply didn't believe you. Michael Wolff
9f4309e The next day Kellyanne Conway, her aggressive posture during the campaign turning more and more to petulance and self-pity, asserted the new president's right to claim "alternative facts." As it happened, Conway meant to say "alternative information," which at least would imply there might be additional data. But as uttered, it certainly sounded like the new administration was claiming the right to recast reality. Which, in a sense, it was... Michael Wolff
31da2b9 Donald Trump was a step up--and early in the 2016 race, Trump became the Breitbart totem. (Many of Trump's positions in the campaign were taken from the Breitbart articles he had printed out for him.) Indeed, Bannon began to suggest to people that he, like Ailes had been at Fox, was the true force behind his chosen candidate. Michael Wolff
17f3774 Trump had little or no interest in the central Republican goal of repealing Obamacare. An overweight seventy-year-old man with various physical phobias (for instance, he lied about his height to keep from having a body mass index that would label him as obese), he personally found health care and medical treatments of all kinds a distasteful subject. The details of the contested legislation were, to him, particularly boring; his attention w.. Michael Wolff
57a70c5 Just doing things became a Bannon principle, the sweeping antidote to bureaucratic and establishment ennui and resistance. It was the chaos of just doing things that actually got things done. Except, even if you assumed that not knowing how to do things didn't much matter if you just did them, it was still not clear who was going to do what you wanted to do. Or, a corollary, because nobody in the Trump administration really knew how to do a.. Michael Wolff