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fb3134a dividends, Burton G. Malkiel
24b0ae4 Only liars manage always to be out of the market during bad times and in during good times. Burton G. Malkiel
fa0d650 To overcome the drag of expenses and taxes, an actively managed fund would have to outperform the market by 4.3 percentage points per year just to break even with index funds.* The odds that you can find an actively managed mutual fund that will perform that much better than an index fund are virtually zero. Burton G. Malkiel
5d97d12 What does diversification mean in practice? It means that when you invest in the stock market, you want a broadly diversified portfolio holding hundreds of stocks. For people of modest means, and even quite wealthy people, the way to accomplish that is to buy one or more low-cost equity index mutual funds. The fund pools the money from thousands of investors and buys a portfolio of hundreds of individual common stocks. The mutual fund colle.. Burton G. Malkiel
3615333 One asset class that belongs in most portfolios is bonds. Bonds are basically IOUs issued by corporations and government units. (The government units might be foreign, state and local, or government-sponsored enterprises such as the Federal National Mortgage Association, popularly known as Fannie Mae.) And just as you should diversify by holding a broadly diversified stock fund, so should you hold a broadly diversified bond fund. Burton G. Malkiel
9fbd728 Unlike common stocks, whose dividends and earnings fluctuate with the ups and downs of the company's business, bonds pay a fixed dollar amount of interest. If the U.S. Treasury offers a $1,000 20-year, 5 percent bond, that bond will pay $50 per year until it matures, when the principal will be repaid. Corporate bonds are less safe, but widely diversified bond portfolios have provided reasonably stable interest returns over time. Burton G. Malkiel
d189136 So-called "total stock market" funds will include both real estate companies and commodity products. Broad equity diversification can be achieved with one-stop shopping." Burton G. Malkiel
cef6ee0 In crowds it is stupidity and not mother-wit that is accumulated," Gustave Le Bon noted in his 1895 classic on crowd psychology." Burton G. Malkiel
0b759df Does achieving extremely broad diversification seem completely out of reach for ordinary investors? Fear not. There are broadly invested, very low-cost funds that can provide one-stop shopping solutions. We will recommend a broadly diversified United States total stock market index fund that includes real estate companies and commodity producers, including gold miners. We Burton G. Malkiel
60f0cfd You should diversify over time. Don't make all your investments at a single time. If Burton G. Malkiel
0f3d23a You can reduce risk by building up your investments slowly with regular, periodic investments over time. Investing regular amounts monthly or quarterly will ensure that you put some of your money to work during favorable periods, when prices are relatively low. Investment advisers call this technique "dollar-cost averaging." With equal dollar investments over time, the investor buys fewer shares when prices are high and more shares when pri.. Burton G. Malkiel
a7e14b8 Only those who will be sellers of equities in the near future should be happy at seeing stocks rise. Prospective purchasers should much prefer sinking prices. Burton G. Malkiel
0481820 And you must have both the cash and the confidence to continue making the periodic investments even when the sky is the darkest. No matter how scary the financial news, no matter how difficult it is to see any signs of optimism, you must not interrupt the automatic-pilot nature of the program. Because if you do, you will lose the benefit of buying at least some of your shares after a sharp market decline when they are for sale at low-end pr.. Burton G. Malkiel
6703fe6 You, far more than the market or the economy, are the most important factor in your long-term investment success. Burton G. Malkiel
42525fd High-quality bonds can moderate the risk of a common stock portfolio by providing offsetting variations to the inevitable ups and downs of the stock market. For Burton G. Malkiel
b8a35ec As in so many human endeavors, the secrets to success are patience, persistence, and minimizing mistakes. In driving, it's having no serious accidents; in tennis, the key is getting the ball back; and in investing, it's indexing--to avoid the expenses and mistakes that do so much harm to so many investors. Burton G. Malkiel
eaeb99d Similarly, the buy-and-hold investor who prudently holds a diversified portfolio of low-cost index funds through thick and thin is the investor most likely to achieve her long-term investment goals. Burton G. Malkiel
75fe24c Investors should avoid any urge to forecast the stock market. Forecasts, even forecasts by recognized "experts," are unlikely to be better than random guesses. "It will fluctuate," declared J. P. Morgan when asked about his expectation for the stock market. He was right. All other market forecasts--usually estimating the overall direction of the stock market--are historically about 50 percent right and 50 percent wrong. You wouldn't bet muc.. Burton G. Malkiel
4dee10e persuasively, that Burton G. Malkiel
050b10b A firm's income statement may be likened to a bikini--what it reveals is interesting but what it conceals is vital. Burton G. Malkiel
e567e37 You will never be allowed to buy the really good IPOs at the initial offering price. The hot IPOs are snapped up by the big institutional investors or the very best wealthy clients of the underwriting firm. Burton G. Malkiel
cb3a4f2 Despite all the evidence to the contrary, suppose an investor still believed that superior investment management really does exist. Two issues remain: First, it is clear that such skill is very rare; and second, there appears to be no effective way to find such skill before it has been demonstrated. As I indicated in chapter 7, the best-performing funds in one period of time are not the best performers in the next period. The top performers.. Burton G. Malkiel
5f3141d In one celebrated incident, an analyst who had the chutzpah to recommend that Trump's Taj Mahal bonds be sold because they were unlikely to pay their interest was summarily fired by his firm after threats of legal retaliation from "The Donald" himself. (Later, the bonds did default.)" Burton G. Malkiel
b155182 There is nothing so disturbing to one's well-being and judgment as to see a friend get rich. Burton G. Malkiel
efaf4ab legerdemain, Burton G. Malkiel
bbe27eb a blindfolded chimpanzee throwing darts at the stock listings can select a portfolio that performs as well as those managed by the experts. Burton G. Malkiel
66c7707 Two behavioral economists, Terrance Odean and Brad Barber, examined the individual accounts at a large discount broker over a substantial period of time. They found that the more individual investors traded, the worse they did. And male investors traded much more than women, with correspondingly poorer results. Burton G. Malkiel
fd7fa20 Percentage of Actively Managed Mutual Funds Outperformed by the S&P 500 Index (Periods through June 30, 2012) Sources: Lipper and The Vanguard Group. Burton G. Malkiel
77cb8e2 Average Annual Returns of Actively Managed Mutual Funds Compared with S&P 500 20 years, Ending June 30, 2012 Sources: Lipper, Wilshire, and The Vanguard Group. S&P 500 Index Fund 8.34% Average Active Equity Mutual Funda 7.00% Shortfall +1.34% Burton G. Malkiel
e98ab86 The harsh truth is that the most important driver in the growth of your assets is how much you save, and saving requires discipline. Without a regular savings program, it doesn't matter if you make 5 percent, 10 percent, or even 15 percent on your investment funds. The single most important thing you can do to achieve financial security is to begin a regular savings program and to start it as early as possible. The only reliable route to a .. Burton G. Malkiel
90551c6 And if you buy the new issue after it begins trading, usually at a higher price, you are even more certain to lose. Burton G. Malkiel
a376a79 ou could talk about Prohibition, or Hemingway, or air conditioning, or music, or horses, but in the end you had to talk about the stock market, and that was when the conversation became serious. Burton G. Malkiel
a22e2eb Kahneman and Tversky concluded that losses were 2 1/2 times as undesirable as equivalent gains were desirable. In other words, a dollar loss is 2 1/2 times as painful as a dollar gain is pleasurable. People exhibit extreme loss aversion, even though a change of $100 of wealth would hardly be noticed for most people with substantial assets. We'll see later how loss aversion leads many investors to make costly mistakes. Burton G. Malkiel
da78adc You could talk about Prohibition, or Hemingway, or air conditioning, or music, or horses, but in the end you had to talk about the stock market, and that was when the conversation became serious. Burton G. Malkiel
02df2a6 Those with a broader view--investors who recognize that the world has changed considerably since Markowitz first enunciated his theory--can reap even greater protection because the movement of foreign economies is not always synchronous with that of the U.S. economy, especially those in emerging markets. Burton G. Malkiel
8cb0826 It is not hard to make money in the market. Burton G. Malkiel
aa80b5f Where foresight is uncertain, "profit maximization" is meaningless as a guide to specifiable action. Armen Alchian
7a316e8 Turkey initiated a policy of annihilation against the Armenians. Armenian genocide
01771ca The Romantic state could pride itself on being the emanation of one Volk and its primordial consciousness; the liberal state has to get by with a good deal less magic. The Romantic state could boldly identify itself with a people's Will; liberal states must content themselves with a Kwame Anthony Appiah
d9733ee Yet in making our choices we must sometimes start with a vision, however inchoate, of what it is for a human life to go well. That was one of Aristotle's central insights. It is my argument that we should be free to avail ourselves of the resources of many disciplines to define that vision; and that in bringing them together we are being faithful to a long tradition. In the humanities, I think, we are always engaged in illuminating the pres.. Kwame Anthony Appiah
1a6856e Without reflection, without sorrow, without shame, they've built around me great, high walls. And I sit here now and despair. I think of nothing else: this fate consumes my mind: because I had so many things to do out there.3 Kwame Anthony Appiah
f2dec4c People have long known in America what many in Europe have come to grasp--that we can hang together without a common religion or even delusions of common ancestry. In the second decade of the twenty-first century, various independence movements gained traction in Europe, from Caledonia to Catalonia. Neither the logic of territorial integrity nor that of national sovereignty can resolve such matters. But let the arguments not be made in term.. Kwame Anthony Appiah
8dc1211 More recently, the intellectual historian Gertrude Himmelfarb has maintained that justice, reason, and the love of humanity "are, in fact, predominantly, perhaps even uniquely, Western values."19" Kwame Anthony Appiah
69bade4 most people would have multifarious possible rewarding lives, if we made a world that respected a life well lived: a life in which a person gave others their due, had rewarding relationships with family, friends, and fellow citizens, and pursued projects they had elected with passion and purpose. Kwame Anthony Appiah