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fb9e2cb SIR model, representing a flow of individuals, during the course of an outbreak, through those three classes I mentioned earlier: from susceptible (S) to infected (I) to recovered (R). Anderson David Quammen
2fa12dc know that walking into a small woodlot," he wrote, "is riskier than walking into a nearby large, extensive forest." David Quammen
7b76817 Their result was a model-generated prediction: Given this rate of transmission, given that rate of recovery, given those unrelated mortalities, then . . . an intermediate grade of virulence should come to predominate. Son of a gun, it matched what had happened. David Quammen
44e561f One animal died and, after it tested positive for Reston virus, forty-nine others housed in the same room were "euthanized" as a precaution. (Most of those, tested posthumously, were negative.) Ten employees who had helped unload and handle the monkeys were also screened for infection, and they also tested negative, but none of them were euthanized." David Quammen
deed207 Appearances have enormous importance, Mr. Kessler. The creation and maintenance of appearances. Appearances govern. David Quammen
c148e18 Two men, on opposite sides of the world, had made the same great discovery at the same time. David Quammen
bf0960c What are they called? Sprackles, shakums, edible sequins, glossy sugar deedeebobs, I don't know. Instead of sprinkling them on a cookie, I sprinkle them on Angel de la Guarda. David Quammen
c4d8267 But here's a bit of spoilsport historical reality: It wasn't the finches that inspired Darwin, it was the Mockingbirds. David Quammen
09088c8 Not only are islands impoverished relative to the mainlands, but small islands are more severely impoverished than large ones. That bit of insight became famed as the species-area relationship. David Quammen
77c850a two aspects of a virus in action: transmissibility and virulence. These David Quammen
f79b827 Its evolutionary adaptability is largely gone. Ecologically, it has become moribund. Sheer chance, among other factors, is working against it. The toilet of its destiny has been flushed. David Quammen
635ef9c AIDS began with a spillover from one chimp to one human, in southeastern Cameroon, no later than 1908 David Quammen
27dfd82 When Homo sapiens passed the six-billion mark we had already exceeded by perhaps as much as 100 times the biomass of any large animal species that ever existed on the land." Wilson meant wild animals. He omitted consideration of livestock, such as the domestic cow ( Bos taurus ), of which the present global population is about 1.3 billion. We are therefore only five times as numerous as our cattle (and probably less massive in total, since .. David Quammen
69622a7 It testified, I suppose, to the genderless ferocity of her mind." "Why" David Quammen
2d07a1f Soon afterward, in August 2008, another team was dispatched to Uganda, this time including the veterinary microbiologist Tom Ksiazek, a veteran of field responses against zoonotic outbreaks, David Quammen
12f02be She is one of this new breed of cross-trained disease specialists I've mentioned, veterinarian-ecologists who recognize the intimate connectedness of human health, wildlife health, livestock health, and the habitats we all share. For David Quammen
eab331d The stability of species represented the bedrock of natural history. David Quammen
bc4afb3 The purpose of this book is not to make you more worried. The purpose of this book is to make you more smart. David Quammen
acb3a79 Eighty traps seemed like a lot when we started walking. But at the end of two hours, Gordon and Tom and I haven't collected a single snake. Maybe it's the drought. Maybe the snake population, here in the north of the island as in the south, has passed the peak of its cycle and declined. Maybe the trap design is no good, or possibly we're using the wrong bait. Temporarily, for whatever reason, B. irregularis has turned invisible. But the con.. David Quammen
9a8541e Darwin wrote: "organized beings represent a tree." David Quammen
58032f8 The ribosome did not contain the recipe for the protein; it was a tape reader. It could make any protein so long as it was fed the right tape of "messenger" RNA." David Quammen
961f873 Later in conversation he corrected himself: It was in fact 1.1 million pigs. The difference might seem like just a rounding error, he told me, but if you ever had to kill an "extra" hundred thousand pigs and dispose of their bodies in bulldozed pits, you'd remember the difference as significant." epidemic pigs virus David Quammen
d833f3d sheets, carefully taped together, forming a triptych David Quammen
cf71de8 The result will be gradual transmutation of heritable forms, and adaptation to circumstances, by a process of selective culling. Eventually he gave the crank a name: natural selection. Twenty years passed after the E notebook entry. The world heard nothing about natural selection. David Quammen
7265e5c A few monkeys and parrots were loose on the wreck, clambering hysterically toward nowhere. He saw several animals disappear into the flames. David Quammen
460db53 Onward we climb. The upper slope is a crust of friable lava. It crunches like peanut brittle beneath our steps. David Quammen
f5f44d4 Then a very large komodo breaks into view, spooked by our trespass, and scrambles up the vertical face of the bluff, like an alligator scaling a four-story building. David Quammen
a17212b Ecological disturbance causes diseases to emerge. Shake a tree, and things fall out. David Quammen
70b2500 For a dozen years it traveled quietly from person to person. Symptoms were slow to arise. Death lagged some distance behind. No one knew. This virus was patient, unlike Ebola, unlike Marburg. More patient even than rabies, but equally lethal. David Quammen
a67afaf molecular phylogenetics. David Quammen
70f1d74 Ebola, West Nile, Marburg, the SARS bug, monkeypox, rabies, Machupo, dengue, the yellow fever agent, Nipah, Hendra, Hantaan (the namesake of the hantaviruses, first identified in Korea), chikungunya, Junin, Borna, the influenzas, and the HIVs (HIV-1, which mainly accounts for the AIDS pandemic, and HIV-2, which is less widespread) are all viruses. David Quammen
3303ec2 From the ecological point of view an outbreak can be defined as an explosive increase in the abundance of a particular species that occurs over a relatively short period of time." Then, in the same bland tone, he noted: "From this perspective, the most serious outbreak on the planet earth is that of the species Homo sapiens." David Quammen
d9a7035 Now here's the part that, as it percolates into your brain, should cause a shudder: Scientists think that each of those twelve groups (eight of HIV-2, four of HIV-1) reflects an independent instance of cross-species transmission. Twelve spillovers. David Quammen
892d70f How do such diseases leap from nonhuman animals into people, and why do they seem to be leaping more frequently in recent years? To put the matter in its starkest form: Human-caused ecological pressures and disruptions are bringing animal pathogens ever more into contact with human populations, while human technology and behavior are spreading those pathogens ever more widely and quickly. David Quammen
e4b02e0 Corinne told us that revolution was brewing in the hills to the north, under the leadership of a man named Miranda, who with absurd inevitability had styled himself El Supremo. Spider Robinson
f09e5f2 Smugness was an art invented by the race of imps, no matter what cats might claim, so he did it very well indeed, Spider Robinson
0a1f48b Noi tendiamo a confondere qualunque numero sufficientemente alto con il concetto d'infinito. [...] amiamo l'idea d'infinito. Un problema che include l'infinito e di facile soluzione. (Elefanti malinconici) Spider Robinson
1ff5a4b I conclude you must be a natural horses's ass. Spider Robinson
a9baad9 Am I finally addressing a sentient being? Spider Robinson
306dd57 Why is it," he mourned, "that I will never again see my face in the shaving mirror without wincing?" Spider Robinson
65abbc7 A surprising percentage of your own society, with all your heritage of murder, would like to believe that Life survives by going to the supermarket. So the ideal would be to train cattle to make butcher knives and take turns cutting each other up at a convenient location. meat meat-consumption murder supermarket Spider Robinson
b47e859 The expense of eating is, in great part, the resistance the second life offers to being eaten. ethics murder Spider Robinson
29f0459 Una volta dissi a un tale che non c'e niente d'impossibile. E lui mi chiese se ero capace di passare da una porta girevole con gli sci ai piedi. (Stardance) Spider Robinson
4d35d17 Although many pairs of lips spoke her name, none ever brought its reality to her. Spider Robinson