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| Link | Quote | Stars | Tags | Author |
| 9481d86 | Obituaries are just like biographies, only shorter. They remind us that interesting, successful people rarely lead orderly, linear lives. I defy you to find a single obituary that begins, "Jane Doe won the Nobel Prize in large part because she was admitted to a prestigious, highly selective preschool. After that, everything just kind of fell into place." Instead, you will read about dead ends, lucky coincidences, quirky habits, excessive se.. | passion success | Charles Wheelan | |
| cf410cf | VaR has been called "potentially catastrophic," "a fraud," and many other things not fit for a family book about statistics like this one. In particular, the model has been blamed for the onset and severity of the financial crisis. The primary critique of VaR is that the underlying risks associated with financial markets are not as predictable as a coin flip or even a blind taste test between two beers. The false precision embedded in the m.. | Charles Wheelan | ||
| ef9aff4 | Housing prices had never before fallen as far and as fast as they did beginning in 2007. But that's what happened. Former Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan explained to a congressional committee after the fact, "The whole intellectual edifice, however, collapsed in the summer of [2007] because the data input into the risk management models generally covered only the past two decades, a period of euphoria. Had instead the models been f.. | Charles Wheelan | ||
| 4905e4a | Fire, knives, automobiles, hair removal cream. Each of these things serves an important purpose. Each one makes our lives better. And each one can cause some serious problems when abused. Now you can add statistics to that list. | statistics | Charles Wheelan | |
| 477c102 | The finest studies are like the finest of anything else: They cost big bucks. | Charles Wheelan | ||
| 4ea4ac3 | Researchers may have some conscious or unconscious bias, either because of a strongly held prior belief or because a positive finding would be better for their career. (No one ever gets rich or famous by proving what doesn't cause cancer.) | science statistics | Charles Wheelan | |
| 2071d7c | Skepticism is always a good first response. | statistics | Charles Wheelan | |
| 5acb017 | Longitudinal data sets are the research equivalent of a Ferrari. Not surprisingly, we can't always have the Ferrari. The research equivalent of a Toyota is a cross-sectional data set. | Charles Wheelan | ||
| 5d97d45 | Statistics cannot be any smarter than the people who use them. And in some cases, they can make smart people do dumb things. | Charles Wheelan | ||
| 16cd682 | The first descriptive task is often to find some measure of the "middle" of a set of data, or what statisticians might describe as its "central tendency." What is the typical quality experience for your printers compared with those of the competition?" | Charles Wheelan | ||
| 5e12aad | I have always had an uncomfortable relationship with math. I don't like numbers for the sake of numbers. I am not impressed by fancy formulas that have no real-world application. I particularly disliked high school calculus for the simple reason that no one ever bothered to tell me why I needed to learn it. What is the area beneath a parabola? Who cares? | Charles Wheelan | ||
| 79b7407 | Intelligence Gathering and Crime Analysis, | Charles Wheelan | ||
| 71b4a01 | The irony is that more data can often present less clarity. | Charles Wheelan | ||
| 323faa3 | verisimilitude, | Charles Wheelan | ||
| 6dee522 | Therein lies the insight: Even though you will continue moving forever--with each move taking you half the remaining distance to the wall--the total distance you travel can never be more than 2 feet, which is your starting distance from the wall. For mathematical purposes, the total distance you travel can be approximated as 2 feet, which turns out to be very handy for computation purposes. A mathematician would say that the sum of this inf.. | Charles Wheelan | ||
| 4bd7d77 | So, to return to the title chapter, what is the point of learning statistics? To summarize huge quantities of data. To make better decisions. To answer important social questions. To recognize patterns that can refine how we do everything from selling diapers to catching criminals. To catch cheaters and prosecute criminals. To evaluate the effectiveness of policies, programs, drugs, medical procedures, and other innovations. And to spot the.. | Charles Wheelan | ||
| 3106c84 | You go to war with the army you have--not the army you might want or wish to have at a later time. | Charles Wheelan | ||
| 82713c8 | Maybe it's a stretch to blame a broader social pathology on hyper-competitive soccer parents. Still, there is not a huge downside to asking every once in a while, Why am I doing this? We will know for certain that my analysis is wrong when we see the following obituary: "Bob Smith died yesterday at the age of 74. He finished life in 186th place." | success | Charles Wheelan | |
| 1331df4 | economy is the art of making the most of life." Economics is the study of how we do that." | Charles Wheelan | ||
| 8b1241f | Even the most complex financial systems can thrive or fail depending on whether people believe they will thrive or fail. | Charles Wheelan | ||
| 10c304c | Prices are supposed to transmit information in a market economy; inflation obscures that mechanism. | Charles Wheelan | ||
| 692ed33 | Statistical malfeasance has very little to do with bad math. Judgement an integrity turn out to be surprisingly important. A detailed knowledge of statistics does not deter wrongdoing any more than a detailed knowledge of the law averts criminal behavior. | Charles Wheelan | ||
| b28a962 | Inflation of all kinds devalues everything it infects. It obscures information and so distorts behaviour. | Charles Wheelan | ||
| 4d9f781 | Descriptive statistics can be like online dating profiles: technically accurate and yet pretty darn misleading. | Charles Wheelan | ||
| 510f48e | The beauty of the normal distribution - its Michael Jordan power, finesse, and elegance - comes from the fact that we know by definition exactly what proportion of the observations in a normal distribution lie within one standard deviation of the mean (68.2 percent), within two standard deviations of the mean (95.4 percent), within three standard deviations of the mean (99.7 percent), and so on. | Charles Wheelan | ||
| 4c13faa | The challenge with any "before and after" kind of analysis is that just because one thing follows another does not mean that there is a causal relationship between the two." | Charles Wheelan | ||
| 368e682 | For as long as there have been creditors and debtors--which is a darn long time--creditors have tried to protect the value of the currency and debtors have sought to devalue it. | Charles Wheelan | ||
| dfefc0c | An aside that will appeal to the well-rounded reader: A creative high that increases physical and mental work capacity is accompanied by noradrenaline secretion. Perhaps this explains why the samurai were equally proficient at war and poetry. | Pavel Tsatsouline | ||
| 4c427b9 | Torah is God's book of humanity, and each of us is a chapter in its unfinished story. | Jonathan Sacks | ||
| 0893c8d | When the Russian kettlebell meets an American steak, it is a beautiful thing. | Pavel Tsatsouline | ||
| e4e2e58 | If you think you are only strong if you can lift a certain number, whatever that number is, you will feel pretty weak most of the time. Strength is not a data point; it's not a number. It's an attitude. | Pavel Tsatsouline | ||
| b532aec | The kettlebell is an ancient Russian weapon against weakness. | Pavel Tsatsouline | ||
| 531bfb3 | Academician Amosov's '1000 Moves' Morning 'Recharge' Complex 1. Squat -100 repetitions 2. Side bends -100 repetitions 3. Pushups on the floor -50 repetitions 4. Forward bends -100 repetitions 5. Straight arm lateral raises overhead -100 repetitions 6. Torso turns -50 repetitions 7. Roman chair situps -100 repetitions 8. One legged jumps in place -100 repetitions per leg 9. Bringing the elbows back -100 repetitions 10. 'The birch tree' -hold.. | Pavel Tsatsouline | ||
| 1edd45b | It does not matter if you can do 1,000 punches if none of them can knock out your little sister. | Pavel Tsatsouline | ||
| 83dd836 | This is how powerlifting world champion Donnie Thompson swings. This is kime. Thompson took his deadlift from 766 to 832, and added 100 pounds to his bench press in nine months with hard style kettlebell training. | Pavel Tsatsouline | ||
| 97b4862 | doing the perfect kettlebell swing alone is superior to 99 percent of the sophisticated strength and conditioning programs out there. | Pavel Tsatsouline | ||
| 8d75d06 | Because a lady wearing high heels leaves deeper footprints than an elephant. | Pavel Tsatsouline | ||
| 1b38efd | Every two weeks take a kettlebell one or more sizes lighter than the one you are currently swinging. Pick a swing variation--two-arm, one-arm, hand-to-hand, mixed--and enjoy the pain. | Pavel Tsatsouline | ||
| 95922d4 | Some of us are silent sufferers of a noisy disease. | quiet suffering | Amy Hempel | |
| 7dc22a0 | kthyr m njd 'SHb lsyrt y`lqwn tmy'm jlb@ llHZ w 'shy shkhSy@ mthl m yD` mdr lmktb Swr w 'GrD shkhSy@ fhm yf`lwn dhlk ltmyyz Hdwdhm ljGrfy@ lfrdy@ | Desmond Morris | ||
| 74f8d56 | The only reason why we are always having the doctrine of original sin instilled into us, in one form or another, is that the artificial conditions of the super-tribe keep on working against our biological altruism, and it needs all the help it can get. | Desmond Morris | ||
| c92baa4 | As a species we may be technologically clever and philosophically brilliant, but we have not lost our animal property of being physically active; | Desmond Morris | ||
| 82405c6 | Hemos llegado al punto en que debemos dejar de sentirnos satisfechos, la solucion es evidente: reducir el ritmo de la natalidad, sin poner obstaculos a la estructura social existente; evitar un aumento en cantidad, sin impedir un aumento en calidad. | extincion humanos malthus poblacion | Desmond Morris | |
| 5a8ad59 | Detras de la fachada de la ciudad moderna, sigue morando el viejo mono desnudo. Solo los nombres han cambiado: en vez de caza, decimos "trabajo"; en vez de campo de caza, "barrio comercial", en vez de cubil, "hogar", en vez de apareamiento, "matrimonio"; en vez de companera, "esposa", etcetera." | humanos moderno sociedad | Desmond Morris |